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MARKET RECAP
Get a head start on tomorrow's headlines. Succinct market analysis, updated frequently, reviewing the factors most responsible for changes in valuation, trends and sentiment, with highlights to the major themes driving market forces.

FINANCIAL MARKET PERSPECTIVES - OCTOBER 27, 2014

U.S. equities extended their recent rally Friday while commodity prices fell, a development that helped Treasury prices rise slightly. Equities were boosted by another set of stronger-than-expected quarterly earnings reports. The stock rally meanwhile weighed on Treasuries but fixed income markets were supported by Ebola worries, European bank stress test concerns and a sell-off in crude oil prices.

THOUGHT PIECE
Track.com offers a virtual research team to the sophisticated investor. This in-depth research presents strategic perspectives about, and derives long-term implications from, economic events, asset class trends, and specific financial market valuations.

THE CELTIC TIGER AND THE EUROZONE PERIPHERY

Ireland has the lowest yield of troubled nations of the Eurozone periphery The Irish stock market has performed well this year Irish Real-Estate has begun to rebound – is this more than a convergence game?

OBSERVATIONS
Markets shift. This is where Track.com analyzes those shifts. These pieces focus on the reactions to particular market sector events, and the issues and data that may cause adverse or unexpected market movements.

WHAT'S HAPPENING IN THE OTC SPACE

In this week’s news recap we see China activity starting to heat up with large Chinese firms coming to the US to gain trading expertise from US banks to grow Chinese markets. In addition, recent trade figures show that show a that September saw increased trade activity in China in both imports and exports, indicating that the world’s second largest economy may not be slowing down after all. In the OTC swaps market, changes are coming in FX as the CFTC seems nearer to mandating central clearing. Firms apparently feel central clearing of FX swaps is close enough that they are already asking the CFTC to pause after central clearing takes effect before allowing made available to trade mandates for FX SEF trading to kick in. There are concerns that mandated central clearing and electronic trading of complex FX swaps may be too much too fast. In other news, Intercontinental Exchange is reportedly looking to leverage its Liffe acquisition, which brought it European interest rate swap trading last year. ICE is said to be looking to launch IRS clearing services to complement its IRS trading. These stories and more are in more detail below.

TRADE IDEAS
Our tactical and (mostly) short-term analysis offers potential trading opportunities in fixed income, foreign exchange, commodity, equity and other asset classes. Technical and fundamental analysis is applied for risk positioning. Track.com monitors the success of all recommendations.

TRACK RESEARCH SEPTEMBER IDEA DINNER – ROSH HASHANAH

Last week, Track hosted its September Idea Dinner last week, which brought together an assortment of analysts, traders, and fund managers. The dinner took place during “Rosh Hashanah”, the Jewish New Year’s celebration that literally translates to “head of the year.” As the Hebrew calendar welcomed in the year 5775, those at the dinner discussed how 2014 was coming to a head. The attitude in the room was subtly fatigued—most of those present seemed tired of the paradigms of 2014 (and prior years), the difficult-to-trade low volatility; continued accommodative policy (and still-lingering fears of a liquidity trap); the feeling that the 2008 crisis has never been fully resolved in the actual world economies—and the threat that the next crisis could already be in sight. This report summarizes the major themes, trades, and market fears discussed at that dinner.

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TRADE IDEAS

Our tactical and (mostly) short-term analysis offers potential trading opportunities in fixed income, foreign exchange, commodity, equity and other asset classes. Technical and fundamental analysis is applied for risk positioning. Track.com monitors the success of all recommendations.

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MARKET RECAP

Get a head start on tomorrow's headlines. Succinct market analysis, updated frequently, reviewing the factors most responsible for changes in valuation, trends and sentiment, with highlights to the major themes driving market forces.

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OBSERVATION

Markets shift. This is where Track.com analyzes those shifts. These pieces focus on the reactions to particular market sector events, and the issues and data that may cause adverse or unexpected market movements.

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